first_imgGeorgia's cheerleaders waving pompoms.ATLANTA, GA – DECEMBER 02: Georgia Bulldogs cheerleaders on the field prior to the game against the Auburn Tigers in the SEC Championship at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 2, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)We’re a little more than three months away from the start of the 2018 college football season. Week 1 will be here before you know it.In anticipation of this, ESPN has published an early preview for the 2018 season’s opening weekend.Which team has the “most to lose” Week 1?According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, it’s last season’s national title runner-up.Team With Most to Lose: Georgia (vs. Austin Peay)If you’re wondering why we use an adjusted leverage (and not just regular leverage) to determine the most important games for the playoff race, this is the reason. If we strictly consider what a team’s chance to finish with a top-four SOR is now versus if that team lost its Week 1 game, no one has a bigger difference (38 percent now, 10 percent with a loss) than the Bulldogs. But something tells me Georgia fans won’t be sweating the 0.2 percent chance they have to lose this one.A Week 1 loss would obviously be devastating for Georgia, but the chances of that happening are extremely slim.You can view ESPN’s full preview here.last_img

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